How ElectionPlus.AI Works
The game. The AI. The scoring.
ElectionPlus.AI turns elections nationwide into prediction contests. Each contest is sponsored, and correct picks get you entered into prize pools. Here's everything you need to know.
The prediction contest
How each contest works.
Every contest on ElectionPlus.AI is sponsored by a business. Pick the right winner and you're entered into the prize pool.
Browse open contests
Each contest corresponds to an election — mayoral races, city council, school boards, county races, and ballot initiatives from across the country. Every contest shows its sponsor and the AI's prediction.
See the AI's prediction
Before you make your pick, see what ElectionPlus.AI's algorithm predicts. The AI shows its confidence percentage for each outcome — use it to inform your decision.
Pick the winner
Choose who you think will win the election. Your pick locks in when the contest closes. You can enter as many contests as you want — each is independent.
Win prizes
If you pick the correct winner, you're entered into the prize pool for that contest. A winner is drawn from all correct entries after results are certified.
Sponsored contests
Every contest has a sponsor.
Each prediction contest on ElectionPlus.AI is backed by a business that funds the prize pool and gets premium visibility with civically engaged audiences in the communities they serve.
Headline brand placement
Each contest prominently displays "Sponsored by [Your Brand]" at the top. Sponsors choose which elections they want to be associated with — local races in the communities they serve.
Sponsor-funded prizes
Each sponsor funds the prize pool for their contest — gift cards, products, experiences, or cash. Winners are drawn from all participants who correctly picked the election outcome.
Reach engaged audiences
Contest participants are highly engaged, civically active adults — the kind of audience most brands spend premium ad dollars to reach. Sponsorship delivers them organically.
Packages start at $250. Fill out a form and our team will follow up.
Prize pools
How winning works.
Each contest has its own sponsor-funded prize pool. Pick the right winner and you're automatically entered into the drawing.
Pick right = one entry
If you correctly predict the election winner, you receive one entry into the prize pool for that contest. It's a simple yes-or-no — did you pick the right person?
Sponsor-funded prizes
Each contest's prize pool is funded by the sponsor — gift cards, products, experiences, or cash. The prize is shown on every contest card so you know what you're playing for.
Random drawing from correct picks
After election results are certified, a winner is randomly drawn from all participants who correctly predicted the outcome. Everyone who got it right has an equal chance.
More contests, more chances
Each contest has its own independent prize pool. Enter as many contests as you want — the more you get right, the more chances you have to win prizes.
The ElectionPlus.AI algorithm
How our AI makes its predictions.
Understanding the algorithm helps you find the gaps where local knowledge gives you an edge. Here's a transparent look at what powers our predictions.
Data sources
The model ingests publicly available polling data, voter registration numbers, historical turnout by precinct, campaign finance filings (FEC + state), and demographic profiles from US Census data.
Weighting engine
Each data source gets a weight based on recency, reliability, and historical predictive power for the specific race type. Mayoral, council, and school board races use different weight profiles tuned on historical results across the country.
Historical calibration
Trained on thousands of resolved local elections across the US. The model adjusts for incumbent advantage, off-cycle turnout depression, regional voting tendencies, and party registration shifts since the last election.
What the AI can't see
Yard signs. Community sentiment. Local endorsements. Group chat energy. The vibe at a town hall. These are exactly the signals where humans have the edge over any data-driven model — and why local forecasters consistently beat the algorithm.
Confidence output
For each market the AI outputs a calibrated probability for every outcome. If the AI says 70% across a hundred markets, roughly 70 of them should happen. This calibration is what makes the Brier score meaningful.
Current performance
Across contests this season: the AI correctly predicts the winner about 68% of the time. But community members with local knowledge consistently outperform it — proving that ground-level insight matters.
In plain English
The ElectionPlus.AI algorithm is a probabilistic forecasting model. It collects every publicly available data point about a race — polls, money, registrations, demographics, history — and uses machine learning to estimate the probability of each outcome. It's trained on thousands of past local elections so it knows patterns like "incumbents in off-cycle municipal races win X% of the time." But it's fundamentally limited to data that exists in databases. It can't knock on doors, and it can't tell if a candidate just had a terrible debate performance. That gap between data and ground truth is the whole game.
FAQ
Questions answered.
Is ElectionPlus.AI free?
Yes — completely free to play. No entry fee, no subscription, no credit card required. The platform is supported by business sponsors who fund the prize pools.
Who is eligible to participate?
You must be at least 18 years old and a legal resident of the United States. Employees of ElectionPlus.AI, its affiliates, and Contest Sponsors (and their immediate family members) are not eligible. Void where prohibited by law.
Is this gambling?
No. ElectionPlus.AI contests are free-to-enter sweepstakes, not gambling. No purchase or payment is required to enter or win. Participants do not wager or risk anything of value. All prize pools are funded by business sponsors, not by participant entry fees. Among correct predictions, winners are selected by random drawing — which is a sweepstakes structure, not gambling.
How does the AI make its predictions?
The AI model uses publicly available data: polling, voter registration, historical turnout, fundraising filings, and census demographics. Each input is weighted by recency and reliability, and the model is trained on thousands of resolved local elections. It outputs calibrated probability estimates for each outcome.
What does 'Sponsored by' mean on each contest?
Each prediction contest is sponsored by a business. The sponsor's name appears at the top of the contest card, and they fund the prize pool. Sponsorship has no influence on AI predictions or contest outcomes.
How do I win a prize?
Pick the correct winner in any contest and you're automatically entered into the prize pool for that contest. After election results are certified, a winner is randomly drawn from all correct entries. Each contest has its own independent prize pool, so the more contests you get right, the more chances you have to win.
What elections are available?
ElectionPlus.AI covers local elections nationwide — mayoral races, city council seats, school board elections, county races, and ballot initiatives from cities and counties across the country. New contests are added regularly.
What prizes can I win?
Each contest has a different sponsor-funded prize. Prizes range from gift cards and store credit to merchandise packages and unique experiences. The prize is displayed on every contest card so you know what you're playing for before you enter.
Are there tax implications for prizes?
Winners are responsible for any applicable federal, state, and local taxes on prizes. For prizes valued at $600 or more, an IRS Form 1099 will be issued. See the Official Contest Rules for full details.
Can the AI be trusted for predictions?
The AI is a strong baseline — it correctly predicts election winners about 68% of the time. But it fundamentally can't see ground-level signals that locals pick up: yard signs, community energy, local endorsements, town hall turnout. That's exactly why your local knowledge matters.
How many contests can I enter?
As many as you want! Each contest is independent with its own sponsor and prize pool. There's no limit to how many contests you can enter. The more you participate, the more chances you have to win prizes.
How are winners selected?
After election results are certified, all participants who correctly picked the winner are entered into a random drawing for the contest's prize pool. One winner is drawn per contest. Everyone who got it right has an equal chance.
Where can I find the full contest rules?
The complete Official Contest Rules are available on the Official Rules page. They cover eligibility, entry procedures, winner selection, prize details, tax obligations, and all legal terms. Read the Official Rules